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Rolls-Royce Shares Retreat To Retest 1,250p Support Level Amid Trade Tensions

Asktraders News Team trader
Updated 21 Jan 2026

Rolls-Royce share price (LON:RR.) slipped 2.3% this morning to 1,250p, extending a pullback from recent highs as broader market anxieties over US-EU trade relations weighed on investor sentiment. Rolls Royce shares now trade more than 4% below the 1,306p peak reached just last week, marking a notable reversal for a company that has delivered exceptional returns over the past year.

The current decline appears largely disconnected from Rolls-Royce's underlying fundamentals, which remain robust. Instead, markets are taking a cautious stance amid geopolitical uncertainties, triggering profit-taking across equity markets after the stock's substantial rally. The 1,250p level represents a critical technical support zone that traders are watching closely for signs of stabilization or further deterioration.

The pullback comes despite a string of positive developments that have characterized Rolls-Royce's remarkable transformation. Last year (February 2025), the company delivered results that significantly exceeded market expectations, reporting a 16% year-on-year revenue increase to £17.8 billion, surpassing consensus estimates by 3%. Operating profit reached £2.5 billion, beating forecasts by 8%, while free cash flow climbed to £2.4 billion, representing a 9% outperformance against analyst projections.

More significantly, management raised its financial targets, projecting free cash flow of £4.3-4.5 billion by 2028, a 20% increase from prior estimates. This upgraded guidance underscored the sustainability of the company's turnaround and its ability to generate substantial cash returns for shareholders. The improved outlook reflects operational efficiencies, strong demand across its civil aerospace division, and the benefits of its multi-year restructuring programme.

Strategic initiatives have further bolstered the company's competitive positioning. In November 2025, Rolls-Royce achieved a quantum-computing breakthrough in partnership with Xanadu and Riverlane, dramatically accelerating jet-engine airflow simulations. This technological advancement promises to enhance design efficiency and maintain the company's edge in an increasingly competitive aerospace industry. 

Bull Case:

  • Fundamentals remain robust, with February 2025 results significantly exceeding market expectations in revenue, profit, and free cash flow.
  • Management has raised long-term financial targets, projecting free cash flow of £4.3-4.5 billion by 2028, a 20% increase from prior estimates.
  • Analyst sentiment is constructive, with major investment banks like JPMorgan raising price targets and maintaining ‘Overweight' ratings.
  • Strategic technological advancements, such as a quantum-computing breakthrough, enhance the company's competitive edge in aerospace design.

Bear Case:

  • The stock is experiencing a pullback from recent highs, indicating potential for profit-taking and short-term selling pressure.
  • Broader market anxieties, particularly concerning US-EU trade relations, are weighing on investor sentiment and could impact global aerospace demand.
  • The 1,250p level is a key technical support zone; a break below this could signal further deterioration.
  • Near-term volatility is expected to persist as markets react to macroeconomic uncertainties and geopolitical developments.

The current share price weakness appears to be a function of broader market dynamics rather than company-specific concerns. With solid fundamentals, positive analyst coverage, and a clear strategic roadmap, Rolls-Royce remains well-positioned for long-term growth. However, near-term volatility may persist as markets digest macroeconomic uncertainties and trade policy developments that could impact global aerospace demand.

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