Rivian Earnings on Deck, Stock (RIVN) Pulls Back Into The Print – What To Expect

Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) is set to unveil its second-quarter 2025 earnings report before market open today, a crucial moment for the electric vehicle maker as it navigates a challenging landscape of production hurdles, financial losses, and strategic alliances.

Analysts are projecting a loss of $0.78 per share for Q2 2025, a potential improvement compared to the $1.46 loss per share reported in the same quarter last year. Revenue is anticipated to reach approximately $1.29 billion, representing a 11.5% year-over-year sales growth rate.

The stock's recent trading reflects investor unease, with the price falling 9.88% in the week leading in to the print, underscoring the volatility, and perhaps uncertainty surrounding RIVN as it prepares to report.

Production and delivery figures will also be under scrutiny. In Q1 2025, Rivian produced 14,611 vehicles and delivered 8,640 units. While production showed gains compared to the previous year, deliveries experienced a decline.

The company has adjusted its 2025 delivery outlook to between 40,000 and 46,000 vehicles, citing global trade and economic headwinds. Any deviation from these targets could significantly impact investor sentiment.

A pivotal development is Rivian's strategic partnership with Volkswagen Group, which includes a commitment of up to $5.8 billion. This collaboration aims to develop next-generation software-defined vehicle platforms, leveraging Rivian's software expertise and Volkswagen's manufacturing prowess. The partnership is expected to bolster Rivian's technological capabilities and financial stability over the long term.

Currently, analyst consensus rates RIVN as a “Hold,” with an average price target of $14.76, implying a potential upside continues to be seen from here. This suggests a cautious optimism, acknowledging the company's potential while recognizing the inherent risks.

The stock's beta of 1.82 indicates higher-than-market volatility, a factor that investors must consider. Key moving averages also paint a mixed picture; the 50-day moving average of $13.75 and the 200-day moving average of $13.04 are both above the last close, suggesting negative short-term momentum.

The upcoming earnings report is expected to provide crucial insights into Rivian's progress towards profitability, its ability to navigate the competitive electric vehicle market, and the tangible benefits of its partnership with Volkswagen.

In the weeks ahead of earnings, analysts have adjusted their EPS estimates—1 raising projections while 3 have lowered.