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Hammerson Shares Are Down 2.14% YTD. Will They Keep Falling?

The Hammerson plc (LON: HMSO) share price has fallen 2.14% since the year started but had rallied higher from early January to the end of February, where it fell to new lows in late March, then rallied higher to its current price. HMSO shares are now at a 1-month low.


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The real estate investment firm’s share price has lost 90% of its value in the past five years as the retail industry faced massive headwinds from e-commerce. The high-street retail industry has been in secular decline for the past few years as consumers shift to online shopping.

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Hammerson has a massive portfolio of retail real estate and was struck by the coronavirus pandemic, which forced many retailers to close for many months and forced many consumers who previously used to shop at retail stores to embrace e-commerce. 

The loosening of COVID-19 restrictions brought many clients back to high-street retail stores, but the sector has never fully recovered from the decline witnessed during the lockdowns. Furthermore, the retail sector has been hard hit by record-high inflation in the UK.

The high inflation figures have reduced consumers’ disposable income and discretionary expenditure, negatively affecting the retail industry. Still, the same issue has affected the e-commerce segment as online retailers struggle to attract clients and more sales. 

Earlier this year, Hammerson shares saw a series of downgrades from market analysts and lower share price targets. Still, the situation has started changing as analysts turn optimistic about the company’s future. 

Analysts at Barclays’ recently raised their Hammerson price target to 30p, which is quite near the current HMSO share price of about 24p. Still, the upgrade is a robust sign of the shifting market sentiment towards Hammerson. 

Many analysts now expect the retail real estate giant to generate significant cash flows as early as later this year. The analysts also expect the company to generate a decent pretax profit in 2024. The expectations are based on future predictions about the UK economy. 

Most analysts expect UK inflation to peak later this year and the retail industry to recover. 

*This is not investment advice. 

Hammerson share price. 

The Hammerson share price is down 2.14% for the year, having retraced most of its earlier gains.


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Simon Mugo
Contributor

Simon ist Autor und Analyst für den Bereich Finanzwesen und blickt auf über sechs Jahre professionelle Erfahrung als Trader zurück. Er absolvierte einen Bachelor in Mathematik und Informatik und hat eine Leidenschaft für die Finanzmärkte. Simon handelt FX, Rohstoffe und Aktien. Er konzentriert sich auf Price Action Trading.