Robinhood Stock Under Pressure Into Earnings – Is Support Stepping In?

Robinhood Markets stock (HOOD) are trading at $86.83 ahead of earnings, up 0.34% from the previous close. The stock is attempting to regain ground after a period of volatility, as the company prepares to announce financials after market close.

Analysts are projecting an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.64 for the quarter, a drop on the $1.01 hit this time last year. Revenue is expected to show substantial decline of 34.22% year-over-year at $1.34B. This comes after a decline in crypto trading Y/Y, with BTCUSD sharply lower in recent months.

Cryptocurrency volatility continues to play a role in Robinhood's stock performance. To close out last week (February 6), Robinhood's stock closed up 13.95%, driven by a rebound in cryptocurrency prices. This illustrates the close relationship between Robinhood's fortunes and the broader crypto market. Trading volume on that day reached 53.8 million shares, significantly exceeding the three-month average.

Robinhood's stock price has faced headwinds recently. The 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) sits at $88.38, slightly above the current price, while the 200-day SMA is considerably higher at $107.19. This positioning suggests potential bearish momentum in the short to medium term.

However, the stock's inclusion in the S&P 500 index in September 2025 provided a notable boost. The announcement triggered a nearly 10% increase in Robinhood's share price, driven by anticipated demand from index funds. This event underscores the impact of index inclusion on stock valuations.

In August 2025, Robinhood reached an all-time high of $113.63, marking a 527% increase over the previous year. This peak reflected strong investor sentiment and confidence in the company's growth trajectory within the fintech sector. At that time, analysts' price targets varied widely, ranging from $48 to $130, indicating differing perspectives on the company's future potential.

Robinhood's expansion into new ventures has also influenced its stock performance. The launch of a prediction markets hub within the Robinhood app, allowing users to trade on the outcomes of major global events, led to a 7.1% increase in share price following the announcement.

The acquisition of TradePMR in February 2025, a firm with approximately $43 billion in assets under administration, is expected to be immediately accretive to Robinhood's Adjusted EBITDA. This strategic move demonstrates Robinhood's commitment to expanding its services and revenue streams. The acquisition was valued at approximately $300 million.

The upcoming earnings report will be crucial in determining the near-term direction of Robinhood's stock. The company's ability to meet or exceed analysts' expectations for EPS and revenue growth will likely influence investor sentiment.

The anticipated 10.4% price movement suggests a volatile trading session following the earnings release. Investors should be prepared for potential swings in either direction, depending on the market's interpretation of the results and management's guidance.