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USDJPY Faces Resistance Ahead of a Critical Level on Dovish BoJ

Simon Mugo trader
Updated 26 Sep 2023

The USDJPY currency pair appears poised to extend its upward trajectory towards the critical psychological level of 150.00, underpinned by the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) persistent commitment to a dovish stance on interest rates.


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This rally contrasts global concerns about an economic slowdown, with the US economy demonstrating remarkable resilience thanks to decreasing inflation and encouraging labour market conditions..

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YOUR CAPITAL IS AT RISK. 76% OF RETAIL CFD ACCOUNTS LOSE MONEY

The USD/JPY currency pair encounters a somewhat hesitant resistance around the 149.20 mark but is widely anticipated to resume its bullish journey towards the critical resistance at 150.00. This surge has been buoyed by the dovish guidance on interest rates from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda and the strength of the U.S. Dollar

During the London session, S&P 500 futures faced substantial declines, reflecting investor apprehension about the potential ramifications of the Federal Reserve's plans to maintain higher interest rates for an extended period.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) recently reached a ten-month high of approximately 106.20, driven by Fed policymakers' inclination to tighten monetary policy further to ensure price stability. Notably, the US economy's resilience in the face of global fears of an economic slowdown is evident as inflation rates decline and the labour market remains robust. 

While inflationary pressures have eased somewhat, robust consumer spending has the potential to introduce upside risks to inflation, potentially motivating additional interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. 

The US manufacturing sector has been navigating a challenging phase, with the US Manufacturing PMI signalling a prolonged period of contraction. A weakened new order book further underscores the likelihood of continued contraction in factory activity.

On the Japanese Yen front, BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda continues to advocate for an expansionary monetary policy, given the absence of any signs of achieving the central bank's 2% inflation target. Ueda emphasised that a modest inflation increase driven by wage growth would be a significant achievement for the central bank.

Earlier today, Japan's Finance Minister, Suzuki, emphasised the nation's crucial position in deciding whether to stimulate consumption and wage growth. He reiterated his concerns about excessive fluctuations in the foreign exchange market and affirmed that authorities are closely monitoring currency movements.  

The USDJPY price chart. 

The USDJPY currency pair traded flat for the day, hovering below the crucial 150.00 round level.


YOUR CAPITAL IS AT RISK. 76% OF RETAIL CFD ACCOUNTS LOSE MONEY.


Simon has over six years of professional trading experience across FX, commodities and equities. He has a strong passion for financial markets and is particularly focused on price action trading